By Rafal Barnaś and Dr. Jakub Krzemiński
Warsaw, August 28, 2020
The recent statement by Putin of August 27 on "Russia's police reserve" for the Lukashenka regime poses a serious threat to the internal security of Belarus, as well as to European and world security in general. This is all the more likely if we take into account the forces of the Russian OMON, special forces of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and the Ministry of Defense of Russia already in Belarus. Lukashenko's statements about "Poland's intentions to annex the Grodno region", his order on the concentration of Belarusian troops on the border with Poland and Lithuania, bringing them to full combat readiness also speak for themselves.
The situation may result in the following:
1. An assault by saboteurs from Russia of government buildings in Minsk and other cities of Belarus.
2. Acts of violence organized by Russian saboteurs against Belarusian police, army, government officials and ordinary citizens.
3. Terrorist attacks in crowded places.
4. Explosions of residential buildings and other buildings, industrial enterprises and organizations, following the example of the explosions of residential buildings organized and carried out by the FSB in September 1999 in Moscow, after which there was an armed invasion of Russia into Chechnya.
The consequences of this can possibly be:
1. Escalation of terror on behalf of the Lukashenka regime in Belarus and civil war.
2. Armed provocations at the border of Belarus with Poland and Lithuania with the likelihood of a military conflict. We must not forget about the intentions of the Putin regime to unleash armed aggression against the Baltic countries in order to divert the attention of the Russian population from the difficult situation inside the country.
3. The poisoning of Alexei Navalny against the backdrop of a growing protest movement in Russia could be an argument in favor of the possible use of the situation in Belarus by the Putin regime to carry out another military adventure.
Under the given circumstances, the passivity of the world community may result in a big war in Europe which, in turn, may degenerate into another world war . The Putin regime, like the Hitler regime in its time, interprets the language of diplomacy as weakness. Therefore, the following actions should be taken by the world community:
1. Direct threat to the Putin regime of disconnection from the SWIFT system in the event of the above-mentioned acts of terror and military provocations.
2. Direct instructions to Putin that, in the same case, military actions will be taken against his regime.
3. Arrest of all accounts and all property of Putin's group in the EU and the United States.
4. Working with offshore companies (Cyprus, Liechtenstein, and so on) to sequester funds from the same group. All this is quite realistic with modern forces and means of financial intelligence.
It must be remembered that the radicalism of these measures is dictated by the real threat of war, which the dictatorial Neonazi regimes of Putin and Lukashenka are preparing to unleash. It als must be remembered that such regimes understand exclusively the language of force. In a blatant complicity, nothing prevents them from committing another armed aggression. This applies to all countries and peoples, starting with their own.