- Andrew Andersen & Michael Weller
LUKASHENKO REDEPLOYING BELARUSIAN TROOPS TO THE WESTERN BORDER: WHAT COULD THAT MEAN?
Updated: Dec 11, 2020
Dr. Andrew Andersen and Michael Weller
August 28, 2020
Following the orders of Lukashenko Belarussian troops are now being re-deployed to Belarusian-Polish and Belarusian-Lithuanian borders. According to Belarusian dictator, Poland, Lithuanian and Latvia are threatening Belarusian territorial integrity. We all know that it is absolute nonsense. However, what could be the results of that maneuver?
Well, that maneuver could result at least in the following:
1. If Lukashenko's troops succeed in provoking a military conflict with one or more of the NATO member-states, it will give the dictator an excuse to declare martial law in Belarus. In that case everyone who opposes the dictator could be charged with "high treason".
2. This redeployment leaves the eastern (Belarusian-Russian) border absolutely transparent and open to the invasion of Russian military and paramilitary units thus giving the green light to possible Russian intervention.
3. If Belarusian army units stayed in the core of Belarus there would be a chance that those units could join anti-Lukashenko opposition. The re-deployment of those units to the western frontier excludes such an opportunity.
It is quite clear that no further comments are needed at this point.